Vale (VALE3) perde posição de preferida do setor em relatório de banco; entenda por quê

A Vale (VALE3) perdeu o posto de queridinha do setor para os analistas do Santander (SANB11) e não é mais a Top Pick do banco. Em relatório publicado nesta terça (18), os analistas foram além e revelaram que a aposta de potencial commodity não é mais o minério de ferro, mas o cobre.

A recomendação de compra das ações da Vale foi mantida pelo banco, sobretudo com a avaliação de que os papéis estão com preço atrativo e descontos ante rivais. No entanto, a aposta do banco é na valorização do cobre.

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"Vemos um risco limitado de queda nos preços do minério de ferro no curto prazo — esperamos que continuem acima de US$ 100 a tonelada até o fim de 2023. Por outro lado, destacamos que a Vale não é mais nossa Top Pick do setor na América Latina, pois agora preferimos o cobre", escrevem Rafael Barcellos e Arthur Biscuola.

Sob esse cenário, a mineradora peruana Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO), que também é uma das maiores produtoras de cobre no mundo, entra na mira dos analistas do Santander.

Isso porque, embora haja perspectivas favoráveis para as duas commodities, existe um risco potencial para a demanda de minério de ferro da Vale, devido às metas chinesas de manter a produção de aço igual à do ano anterior em 2023.

Isso contribui para a Southern Copper Corporation se tornar a empresa preferida dos analistas.

Apesar disso, o preço-alvo para as ações da Vale foi elevado de R$ 90 para R$ 95. No entanto, a Southern Copper Corporation teve um aumento ainda maior (de US$ 69 para US$ 95 por ação), demonstrando a maior confiança do Santander pela empresa.

Cotação da Vale

As ações da Vale operam com alta de 0,78%, cotadas a R$ 78,48, no Ibovespa desta terça-feira. Neste mês de abril, os papéis da mineradora tiveram uma desvalorização de 2,17%. Confira mais detalhes do desempenho da empresa na bolso no gráfico abaixo:

Cotação vale3

Gráfico gerado em: 18/04/2023

11,99 (+8,42%)Variação do períodoR$ 65,50MínimaR$ 95,89Máxima

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